The 65% Probability Trap: Why the Fed's September Pause Is a False Signal for Crypto Markets
The data suggests a 65% probability of no rate hike in September. That 35% ta...
DAO
•
CryptoWolf
•
2026-08-20
Market Prices
BTC
Bitcoin
$84,272.5
+1.32%
ETH
Ethereum
$2,476.06
+0.83%
SOL
Solana
$107.28
+0.40%
BNB
BNB Chain
$748.8
+0.74%
XRP
XRP Ledger
$1.37
+2.16%
DOGE
Dogecoin
$0.0821
+0.07%
ADA
Cardano
$0.2260
+0.58%
AVAX
Avalanche
$9.69
-1.03%
DOT
Polkadot
$1.15
-0.52%
LINK
Chainlink
$12.57
+1.51%
Event Calendar
202610
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Tools
All →Popular Categories
Altseason Index
40
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Market Cap
All →| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$84,272.5 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$2,476.06 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$107.28 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$748.8 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.37 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0821 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.2260 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$9.69 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$1.15 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$12.57 |
🐋 Whale Tracker
🔴
0xe3b1...a06f
1h ago
Out
4,336,032 USDT
🟢
0x7c00...e23d
6h ago
In
5,051,070 USDC
🔵
0xd08a...5ed6
1h ago
Stake
1,525 ETH
#CME FedWatch
CME FedWatch related articles
The Fed's Coin Flip: Why 49.9% Rate Hike Probability Is a Trap for Crypto
The CME FedWatch tool shows a 49.9% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike...
DAO
•
CryptoLion
•
2026-08-12
69.5% Hold, 56.4% Hike: The FedWatch Flip That Reprices Every Stablecoin and DeFi Position
CME FedWatch shifted at 14:23 UTC. Two probabilities crossed the wire...
People
•
PlanBtoshi
•
2026-07-31
Fear & Greed
68
Greed
Market Sentiment
Hot Tags
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
💡 Smart Money
0xb67f...7215
Market Maker
-$2.4M
91%
0x4a7f...57be
Experienced On-chain Trader
+$1.0M
60%
0x3167...09a3
Market Maker
+$1.6M
85%